Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.032701 0.038063 0.043963 0.050930 0.058921 0.067791 0.078375
2025-09-21 0.023951 0.030753 0.038933 0.049460 0.062611 0.078458 0.098957
2025-09-28 0.018560 0.025963 0.035577 0.048901 0.066796 0.089898 0.121864
2025-10-05 0.015913 0.023980 0.035178 0.051713 0.075329 0.107636 0.154922
2025-10-12 0.013651 0.022001 0.034304 0.053526 0.082514 0.124237 0.188365
2025-10-19 0.011144 0.019134 0.031587 0.052093 0.084609 0.133647 0.212461
2025-10-26 0.009403 0.017115 0.029764 0.051615 0.087874 0.144895 0.240270
2025-11-02 0.007827 0.015062 0.027522 0.050042 0.089040 0.152817 0.263520
2025-11-09 0.006612 0.013412 0.025672 0.048791 0.090447 0.161084 0.287960
2025-11-16 0.005777 0.012308 0.024596 0.048692 0.093722 0.172652 0.318904
2025-11-23 0.004932 0.011030 0.022994 0.047372 0.094576 0.180017 0.343163
2025-11-30 0.004590 0.010713 0.023178 0.049438 0.101880 0.199479 0.390727
2025-12-07 0.004062 0.009925 0.022337 0.049433 0.105342 0.212482 0.428217
2025-12-14 0.003490 0.008934 0.020930 0.048079 0.105971 0.220224 0.456629
2025-12-21 0.003068 0.008213 0.019990 0.047571 0.108239 0.231326 0.492591
2025-12-28 0.002931 0.008157 0.020518 0.050330 0.117676 0.257573 0.561034
2026-01-04 0.002739 0.007926 0.020609 0.052107 0.125182 0.280578 0.624996
2026-01-11 0.002383 0.007198 0.019405 0.050714 0.125474 0.288547 0.658476
2026-01-18 0.002123 0.006681 0.018639 0.050250 0.127807 0.301049 0.702660
2026-01-25 0.001846 0.006059 0.017506 0.048718 0.127439 0.307574 0.734427
2026-02-01 0.001619 0.005537 0.016551 0.047498 0.127658 0.315387 0.769696
2026-02-08 0.001464 0.005203 0.016055 0.047402 0.130617 0.329701 0.820874
2026-02-15 0.001285 0.004754 0.015163 0.046115 0.130407 0.336573 0.855468